NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]

NFL 2017 | Week 10 | Sun, Nov 12, 2017 | GOFF RAMS ONSLAUGHT, ROBERT WOODS BREAKS THE SLATE, DEMARCO MURRAY 0.7 PERCENT

NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]
NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]

Winning lineup

POS PLAYER OWN SAL PTS
QB
Jared Goff
LAR QB
10.1% 6700 29.5
RB
Todd Gurley II
LAR RB
14.9% 8700 19.6
RB
DeMarco Murray
TEN RB
0.7% 5000 29.2
WR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
PIT WR
15.7% 5600 20.7
WR
Golden Tate
DET WR
20.2% 6800 21.7
WR
Robert Woods
LAR WR
14.9% 5000 40.1
TE
Eric Ebron
DET TE
7.0% 3100 11.9
FLEX
Sterling Shepard
NYG WR
25.1% 5500 28.2
DST
Rams
LAR DST
17.2% 3600 15

Analysis

Stack summary
This winner starts with a hard stance on one offense and one opponent collapse. Jared Goff, Todd Gurley II, Robert Woods, and Rams defense create a four piece capture of Houston at Los Angeles. The game does not turn into a back and forth track meet. It turns into Rams control. Goff throws for 355 yards and three touchdowns, Woods detonates for 171 yards and two touchdowns, Gurley adds six catches, and the defense collects sacks and takeaways against Tom Savage. The lineup captures the full shape of the outcome rather than one narrow lane through it. Robert Woods is the true hinge. His 40.1 point score at 5,000 changes the entire slate because he does not need elite salary to reach elite output. Once Woods clears the bonus and adds two touchdowns, the roster can carry high end volume elsewhere without sacrificing ceiling. Goff then becomes more than a functional quarterback score. He becomes the distributor attached to the slate's top wide receiver result. The next layer is DeMarco Murray at 0.7 percent ownership. This is where the tournament gets decided. Murray had been ceding attention and backfield enthusiasm to Derrick Henry, yet the lineup lands on a three touchdown game from a nearly unowned running back. That is not small field differentiation. That is a direct hit on a branch of the slate the field barely touched. The remaining pieces are disciplined rather than flashy. Golden Tate with Eric Ebron captures Detroit scoring concentration against Cleveland. JuJu Smith-Schuster gets his touchdown and near 100 yard day in Indianapolis. Sterling Shepard supplies a target driven 11 catch game without needing a touchdown. Each of those selections serves the same purpose. They keep pressure on every slot while the Rams cluster and Murray do the heavy lifting.
Uniqueness notes
The sharpest decision in this build is pairing Rams offense with Rams defense in the same game. Many players treat quarterback stacks and defense as separate allocation problems. This lineup treats them as one script decision. If Los Angeles controls the game, the passing game can still deliver through efficiency and field position while Houston's offense hands extra possessions back through sacks and takeaways. Against Tom Savage, those outcomes were more connected than the field tends to price. Murray is the cleanest separator, though the construction around him matters too. The roster does not force a Houston bring back into the Rams stack. It accepts a one sided script and spends the saved slot on a near dead ownership running back who scores three times. That is a sharper use of correlation discipline than a reflexive game stack. There is also a useful ownership lesson in the secondary pairings. Tate and Shepard were popular enough to keep the lineup tied to strong projection buckets. Ebron stayed cheap and caught a touchdown next to Tate. JuJu brought his own touchdown on a separate island. The lineup did not try to fade every popular score. It chose one major leverage point in Murray, then built around concentrated offense and high certainty volume.
Build details
Primary lever: Jared Goff with Robert Woods and Todd Gurley II paired with Rams defense against Tom Savage Secondary lever: DeMarco Murray as a 0.7 percent three touchdown separator