DraftKings NFL $250K Winning Lineup - 2019 Wild Card Weekend
NFL 2018 | Week 18 | Sat, Jan 05, 2019 | TRUBISKY AROD BEARS, HOU IND FOUR MAN, ELLIOTT EBRON CHALK
Winning lineup
| POS | PLAYER | OWN | SAL | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Mitchell Trubisky CHI QB | 11.6% | 6200 | 20.02 |
| RB | Marlon Mack IND RB | 12.8% | 6000 | 26.4 |
| RB | Lamar Miller HOU RB | 22.1% | 4900 | 16.1 |
| WR | Keke Coutee HOU WR | 15.9% | 4000 | 31 |
| WR | Tyler Lockett SEA WR | 23.8% | 5300 | 19 |
| WR | Allen Robinson II CHI WR | 22.0% | 5600 | 33.3 |
| TE | Eric Ebron IND TE | 56.5% | 5200 | 11.6 |
| FLEX | Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB | 59.9% | 9000 | 29.9 |
| DST | Bears CHI DST | 25.7% | 3400 | 6 |
Analysis
Stack summary
This lineup starts with a Chicago playoff game bet, but not a clean offensive stack. Mitchell Trubisky, Allen Robinson II, and Bears defense all came from the same game, creating a rare setup where one roster benefited from Chicago passing volume while also collecting defensive turnovers against Nick Foles. Trubisky reached the 300 yard bonus without breaking the slate by himself, and Robinson supplied the true receiver ceiling from the same side.
The most important cluster came from Indianapolis at Houston. Four roster spots came from one AFC Wild Card game, but the build did not chase Andrew Luck or Deshaun Watson. It took the touchdown access through Marlon Mack, Keke Coutee, and Eric Ebron, then added Lamar Miller as a reception based piece on the other side. Mack gave the rushing bonus, Coutee gave the cheap receiver eruption, and Ebron carried massive tight end ownership without sinking the roster.
The Dallas Seattle game handled the expensive volume. Ezekiel Elliott was a heavy ownership spend with 137 rushing yards, the rushing bonus, a touchdown, and receiving work. Tyler Lockett gave Seattle exposure through the most efficient wide receiver result from the same game. The build did not need a quarterback from Dallas Seattle because the running back and receiver usage captured enough of the fantasy production.
The shape is unusual for a short playoff slate. It used three players from the quarterback game, four players from another game, and two players from a third game. No one off fillers were required. Every roster spot had a clear path through game level scoring, bonus access, or condensed usage.
Uniqueness notes
The separator was not raw contrarian ownership. The roster carried Elliott at 59.9 percent and Ebron at 56.5 percent, which meant the lineup had to win through exact player pairing rather than broad leverage.
The Chicago combination created the unique angle. Trubisky and Robinson captured Chicago passing production while Bears defense still scored through sacks and interceptions against Nick Foles. Many lineups would be uncomfortable pairing a quarterback with his defense in a low total playoff game, but this outcome shows the difference between theoretical negative correlation and a game script where a defense can collect events while the offense still produces one concentrated pass catcher score.
The Houston Indianapolis four man cluster had the strongest 80 percent cause. Mack, Coutee, and Ebron all scored touchdowns, while Miller added eight receptions from the opposing side. The game did not need to turn into a full shootout. It only needed the fantasy output to condense through the selected roles.
The salary map also mattered. Coutee at 4,000 supplied 31 points, which allowed the roster to hold Elliott, Ebron, Robinson, and Trubisky without punting away a position. Without Coutee, the lineup becomes a normal chalk heavy playoff construction. With Coutee, the expensive chalk becomes affordable and the roster clears first place.
Build details
Roster construction: 3-4-2
Game key:
PHI@CHI: 3 (QB game)
IND@HOU: 4
SEA@DAL: 2
Primary lever: Mitchell Trubisky paired with Allen Robinson II and Bears defense in the quarterback game
Secondary lever: Four player Indianapolis Houston cluster without either quarterback
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Winning lineup 193.32 PTS $49,600 SALARY 250.30% OWN
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Total points
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193.32
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Salary used
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$49,600
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Total ownership
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250.30%
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Players you had that the winner did not
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QB comparison
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Mitchell Trubisky
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