NFL $500K Divisional Sunday 2 Game Classic
NFL 2025 | Week 20 | Sun, Jan 18, 2026 | PATRIOTS DST VS STROUD, RAMS BEARS 6 MAN CORE, KMET 1.1 PERCENT
Winning lineup
| POS | PLAYER | OWN | SAL | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Caleb Williams CHI QB | 28.2% | 6100 | 19.28 |
| RB | Kyren Williams LAR RB | 48.7% | 6600 | 27.7 |
| RB | D'Andre Swift CHI RB | 53.3% | 6000 | 7.6 |
| WR | Puka Nacua LAR WR | 89.0% | 9000 | 11.2 |
| WR | Stefon Diggs NE WR | 28.1% | 5800 | 14 |
| WR | Kayshon Boutte NE WR | 12.7% | 4300 | 16.5 |
| TE | Cole Kmet CHI TE | 1.1% | 3000 | 12.1 |
| FLEX | DJ Moore CHI WR | 24.9% | 5200 | 17 |
| DST | Patriots NE DST | 36.5% | 3600 | 20 |
Analysis
Stack summary
This roster wins through a concentrated Rams Bears read, then uses New England defense as the direct slate separator. Caleb Williams did not deliver a clean quarterback result because the three interceptions capped the ceiling, but the Chicago touchdowns still flowed through the right players. Cole Kmet and DJ Moore caught the touchdowns, while D'Andre Swift added the owned rushing floor from the same game.
The Rams side was accepted rather than overplayed. Puka Nacua carried extreme ownership and produced only 11.2 points, but Kyren Williams supplied the Los Angeles touchdown concentration with two rushing scores and receiving work. That kept the six-player Rams Bears block alive even though the most popular player in the game did not create separation.
New England created the winning path from the other game. Stefon Diggs and Kayshon Boutte gave the lineup two touchdown receivers from the Patriots offense, and Patriots defense turned C.J. Stroud into the main pressure point. Three sacks, four interceptions, a fumble recovery, and a defensive touchdown gave the roster a 20 point defense score while the Houston offense failed to produce a useful skill player.
The key decision was Cole Kmet at 1.1 percent. On a two game slate where most lineups were forced into similar running back and Puka structures, a 3,000 tight end touchdown from the quarterback game created the salary release and ownership gap. The roster did not need a perfect quarterback score because the defense, Kmet, Boutte, Moore, and Kyren handled the touchdown distribution.
Uniqueness notes
The lineup separated by taking the right cheap touchdown from the Rams Bears game and pairing it with the correct defense. Kmet was the clean ownership break. At 1.1 percent, his touchdown score changed the slate more than the higher owned pieces around him.
The Patriots defense call mattered because it was not isolated. Diggs and Boutte captured New England offensive touchdowns, while the defense captured Houston mistakes. That created a one-sided game script from the Patriots side without needing Drake Maye in the quarterback slot.
The Puka decision is the lesson from the slate. He was close to unavoidable from a projection standpoint, but he was not the reason the lineup won. The roster absorbed the Puka score, then made the difference through Kmet, Boutte, Patriots defense, and Kyren's touchdown concentration.
Build details
Roster construction: 6-3
Game key:
LAR@CHI: 6 (QB game)
HOU@NE: 3
Primary lever: Caleb Williams with DJ Moore and Cole Kmet in the Rams Bears game
Secondary lever: Patriots defense against C.J. Stroud with two New England touchdown receivers
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Winning lineup 145.38 PTS $49,600 SALARY 322.50% OWN
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Parsed rows
Total points
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145.38
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Salary used
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$49,600
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Total ownership
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322.50%
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Shared players
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Players you had that the winner did not
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Players the winner had that you did not
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QB comparison
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Caleb Williams
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